Translation: it will take two weeks to put the pieces on the board. They’re moving striker carrier groups, getting all the planes off the airfields in Qutar and other proximity locations.
Make no mistake folks: America is going to a full on kinetic war and the likelihood of an all out global conflict is higher than it has been since WW2
One critique of your analysis. I dont think the 2 week timeline is because thats how long itll take America to prepare. Theyd probably need much longer to prepare fully. The 2 week timeline is because Israel will run out of interceptors in 2 weeks i think. Thats how long they think Israel will last without US intervention.
I am also not fully convinced the US will go into this war. I think they are being warned off it behind the scenes by China and Russia and know it will be a prolonged proxy conflict at the least. We will see what they decide to do. Id say its 70% chance the US attacks Iran but theres still a chance they decide its too costly and back off at the last second too.
Legitimate criticism. It could be just another “TikTok ban in one month unless” strategy, bluster and chaos… also agree it’s not 100% that the US will enter especially considering oil price spikes when Iran shuts down the strait. However I remember how horny Trump was to drop, for the first time, that MOAB in Afghanistan. I think they want to try a tactical nuke to shift the Overton window. Brinkmanship to the very edge of a fullscale nuclear war is not outside of the realms of possibility here.
What do I know though
it really all comes down to if they think they can get away with it. Oil price shocks arent really a bad thing for them, but they have to consider how normie Americans would react too. Even if they can make money off market volatility it might hurt profits in other areas too.