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Cake day: May 1st, 2024

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  • I agree with the overall sentiment, but I’d like to add two points:

    1. Everyone starts off as a code editor, and through a combination of (self-)education and experience can become a software engineer.

    2. To the point of code editors having to worry about LLM’s taking their job, I agree, but I don’t think it will be as over the top as people literally being replaced by “AI agents”. Rather I think it will be a combination of code editors becoming more productive through use of LLMs, decreasing the demand for code editors, and lay people (i.e. almost no code skills) being able to do more through LLMs applied in the right places, like some website builders are doing now.





  • I agree that it’s editorialized compared to the very neutral way the survey puts it. That said, I think you also have to take into account how AI has been marketed by the industry.

    They have been claiming AGI is right around the corner pretty much since chatGPT first came to market. It’s often implied (e.g. you’ll be able to replace workers with this) or they are more vague on timeline (e.g. OpenAI saying they believe their research will eventually lead to AGI).

    With that context I think it’s fair to editorialize to this being a dead-end, because even with billions of dollars being poured into this, they won’t be able to deliver AGI on the timeline they are promising.