So when is she going to start winning these races against Trump? If she wants to be the Republican nominee in 2024 she’s going to have to start doing that eventually, but everything I’ve read says she’s got almost no chance in South Carolina and I don’t think it gets any better for her after her home state.
On the other hand, if she doesn’t really care about winning in 2024 and is just getting her name out there for 2028, this “hey, remember that time Haley lost to none of the above?” meme could hurt her.
She’s not going to beat him in the primary, however there’s a not insignificant chance that Trump flames out (disqualification or conviction) and she’ll be the only candidate left with some delegates and she’ll default her way into the nomination.
I don’t think this Republican party is ever going to disqualify Trump no matter what he gets convicted of, but I suppose he’s due for a stroke or heart attack or something like that
But even still, couldn’t the GOP delegates pledged to Trump just pick another candidate if he’s unavailable? Might be a second round of voting at their convention situation, but I think if no one candidate clenches a majority the first time around the delegates can start siding with whoever they want, and I feel like there’s going to be at least a few of them with grudges against Haley (like, it doesn’t take a whole lot for Republicans to start hating women to begin with)
Even if the Supreme Court upholds the removal of Trump from the Colorado ballot, it isn’t immediately over for him, unfortunately. He won in 2016 without Colorado.
That said, it would be a precedent, and other Secretaries of State could start removing him with confidence. The question remains: would enough states remove him to make winning impossible? Which is to ask: how many battleground states (or even red states) would remove him?
Losing MI, WI, and NV would kill his campaign. Those are probably the most likely swing states I could see moving forward with removing him. It won’t take a lot with how razor thin the margins are.
It’s worth noting that the DeSantis didn’t end his campaign as much as suspended so if Trump drops out I believe he can restart his campaign without any legal issues, right?
So when is she going to start winning these races against Trump? If she wants to be the Republican nominee in 2024 she’s going to have to start doing that eventually, but everything I’ve read says she’s got almost no chance in South Carolina and I don’t think it gets any better for her after her home state.
On the other hand, if she doesn’t really care about winning in 2024 and is just getting her name out there for 2028, this “hey, remember that time Haley lost to none of the above?” meme could hurt her.
She’s not going to beat him in the primary, however there’s a not insignificant chance that Trump flames out (disqualification or conviction) and she’ll be the only candidate left with some delegates and she’ll default her way into the nomination.
I don’t think this Republican party is ever going to disqualify Trump no matter what he gets convicted of, but I suppose he’s due for a stroke or heart attack or something like that
But even still, couldn’t the GOP delegates pledged to Trump just pick another candidate if he’s unavailable? Might be a second round of voting at their convention situation, but I think if no one candidate clenches a majority the first time around the delegates can start siding with whoever they want, and I feel like there’s going to be at least a few of them with grudges against Haley (like, it doesn’t take a whole lot for Republicans to start hating women to begin with)
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Even if the Supreme Court upholds the removal of Trump from the Colorado ballot, it isn’t immediately over for him, unfortunately. He won in 2016 without Colorado.
That said, it would be a precedent, and other Secretaries of State could start removing him with confidence. The question remains: would enough states remove him to make winning impossible? Which is to ask: how many battleground states (or even red states) would remove him?
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Losing MI, WI, and NV would kill his campaign. Those are probably the most likely swing states I could see moving forward with removing him. It won’t take a lot with how razor thin the margins are.
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It’s worth noting that the DeSantis didn’t end his campaign as much as suspended so if Trump drops out I believe he can restart his campaign without any legal issues, right?
It’s… not the worst strategy.