Image is of the Power of Siberia natural gas pipeline, which transports gas from Russia to China. This isn’t an oil pipeline (such as the ESPO) but I thought it looked cool. Source here.


Trump has recently proposed a 500% tariff on goods from countries that trade with Russia, including India and China (who buy ~70% of Russia’s oil output), as well as a 10% additional tariff on goods from countries that “align themselves with BRICS.” Considering that China is the largest trading partner of most of the countries on the planet at this point, and India and Brazil are reasonably strong regional players, I’m not sure what exactly “alignment” means, but it could be pretty bad.

Sanctions and tariffs on Russian products have been difficult to achieve in practice. It’s easy to write an order to sanction Russia, but much harder to actually enforce these sorts of things because of, for example, the Russian shadow oil fleet, or countries like Kazakhstan acting as covert middlemen (well, as covert as a very sudden oil export boom can be).

Considering that China was pretty soundly victorious last time around, I’m cautiously optimistic, especially because China and India just outright cutting off their supply of energy and fuel would be catastrophic to them (and if Iran and Israel go to war again any time in the near future, it’ll only be more disastrous). Barring China and India kowtowing to Trump and copying Europe vis-a-vis Nordstream 2 (which isn’t impossible, I suppose), the question is whether China and India will appear to accede to these commands while secretly continuing trade with Russia through middlemen, or if they will be more defiant in the face of American pressure.


Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • CoolerOpposide [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    1 hour ago

    Does anybody know of a good leftist analysis video on the PKK? I just don’t have the energy to explain it to a friend at the moment but want to make sure they’re getting it from a good source

  • MarmiteLover123 [comrade/them, any]@hexbear.net
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    20 minutes ago

    The latest video posted by Ansarallah/Houthis on the sinking of the Eternity C gave us a look at their Close Range Ballistic Missiles (CRBM, sub 300km range) in the anti ship role, and an anti ship cruise missile. Three different types of missiles can be identified.

    • Fateh Mobin, anti ship ballistic missile, 200-300km range. Inertial guidance in the midcourse, with electro optical terminal guidance, an infrared camera/sensor most likely.

    • Faleq 1/Fajr-4CL, 333mm diameter guided artillery rocket, used in the anti ship ballistic missile role. Range of 200+km. Inertial guidance in the midcourse, electro optical terminal guidance.

    • C-802/YJ-83/Noor/Al-Mandeb 2 anti ship cruise missile, originally a Chinese design, reverse engineered by Iran and now Yemen. Inertial guidance for most of the flight, active radar seeker for the final stage. Range of 120-170km.

    Interesting to note that none of the missiles use satellite navigation at any stage of flight, all inertial navigation with various seperate terminal guidance seekers. So jamming would be ineffective as a means of defeat. Also all shorter range weapons sub 300km range, no need to use longer range weapons when the ships are off of the coast of Hodeidah.

    There were at least three impacts, two from the CRBMs on the top, and one on the side, low down on the hull, likely from the cruise missile. Official statement said 6 missiles were fired.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    3 hours ago
    Lula da Silva's Message to Trump

    lula-bars : "In view of US President Donald Trump’s public statement on a social network on Wednesday afternoon (9), it is important to emphasize that Brazil is a sovereign country with independent institutions that will not accept being tutored by anyone: Brazil is a sovereign country with independent institutions that will not accept being tutored by anyone.

    The judicial process against those who planned the coup d’état is the sole responsibility of the Brazilian justice system and is therefore not subject to any kind of interference or threat that would harm the independence of national institutions. In the context of digital platforms, Brazilian society rejects hate content, racism, child pornography, scams, fraud, speeches against human rights and democratic freedom.

    In Brazil, freedom of expression is not to be confused with aggression or violent practices. In order to operate in our country, all national and foreign companies are subject to Brazilian law. In the case of the trade relationship between Brazil and the United States, the information about the alleged US deficit is false. The US government’s own statistics show a surplus of 410 billion dollars in trade in goods and services with Brazil over the last 15 years.

    In this sense, any measure to raise tariffs unilaterally will be responded to in the light of the Brazilian Law of Economic Reciprocity. Sovereignty, respect and the uncompromising defense of the interests of the Brazilian people are the values that guide our relationship with the world."

  • LoveYourself [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    4 hours ago

    “Alligator Alcatraz” Prisoners Say Their Living Conditions Are a Form of Torture

    (Article)

    They report inadequate and maggot-infested food, inability to bathe, flooding, denial of religious practice, and more.

    spoiler

    Officially known as Krome Detention Center, the 5,000-bed Department of Homeland Security (DHS) immigration detention facility located on the grounds of a rarely used municipal airport approximately 20 miles west of Miami last week began receiving people arrested during the Trump administration’s mass deportation campaign. While U.S. President Donald Trump and other proponents of the prison have sadistically joked about alligators eating escaping prisoners, the biggest dangers faced by detainees are found inside the facility’s walls.

    “I don’t know their motive for doing this, if it’s a form of torture,” he added. “A lot of us have our residency documents and we don’t understand why we’re here.”

    Another inmate, the Cuban reggaeton artist Leamsy La Figura, said guards “only brought a meal once a day and it had maggots.”

    “They’re not respecting our human rights,” one detainee told CBS News Miami during a phone interview. “We’re human beings; we’re not dogs. We’re like rats in an experiment.”

    “They never take off the lights for 24 hours,” he claimed. “The mosquitoes are as big as elephants,” and “there’s no water to take a bath, it’s been four days since I’ve taken a bath.”

    A Colombian detainee said his mental health is breaking down. “I’m on the edge of losing my mind. I’ve gone three days without taking my medicine,” he said. “It’s impossible to sleep with this white light that’s on all day.”

    “They took the Bible I had and they said here there is no right to religion,”


  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    Donald Trump announces a 50% tax on Brazil. Trump cited decisions by the Federal Supreme Court (STF) and said that the taxes should start to apply in August.

    Trump Letter to Lula da Silva

    "Dear Mr. President: I met and dealt with former President Jair Bolsonaro, and I respected him very much, as I do most other leaders of countries. The way Brazil has treated former President Bolsonaro, a leader who was highly respected around the world during his time in office, including by the United States, is an international disgrace. This trial should not be taking place. It is a Witch Hunt that must end IMMEDIATELY!

    In part due to Brazil’s insidious attacks on free elections and fundamental violation of Americans’ freedom of speech (as demonstrated recently by Brazil’s Supreme Court issuing hundreds of SECRET and ILLEGAL censorship orders to U.S. social media platforms, threatening them with million-dollar fines and expulsion from the Brazilian social media market), as of August 1, 2025, we will charge Brazil a 50% tariff on any and all Brazilian exports shipped to the United States, separate from all existing sectoral tariffs. Goods transshipped to try to avoid this 50% tariff will be subject to this higher tariff. In addition, we have had years to discuss our trade relationship with Brazil and have concluded that we need to move away from the long and very unfair trade relationship generated by Brazil’s tariffs and tariff and non-tariff barriers. Our relationship, unfortunately, has been far from reciprocal.

    Please understand that the 50% is much less than would be necessary for us to have a level playing field in our trade with your country. And it is necessary to have this in order to correct the serious injustices of the current system. As you know, there will be no tariff if Brazil, or companies within your country, decide to build or manufacture products within the United States and, in fact, we will do everything possible to approve it quickly, professionally and routinely - in other words, in a matter of weeks. If for any reason you decide to increase your tariffs, whatever amount you choose, it will be added to the 50% we charge. Please understand that these tariffs are necessary to correct Brazil’s many years of tariffs and tariff and non-tariff barriers, which have caused these unsustainable trade deficits against the United States. This deficit is a major threat to our economy and, indeed, to our national security!

    In addition, due to Brazil’s continued attacks on the digital business activities of U.S. companies, as well as other unfair trade practices, I am instructing U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer to immediately initiate a Section 301 investigation of Brazil. If you wish to open your previously closed trade markets to the United States and eliminate your tariffs, non-tariff policies and trade barriers, we may be able to consider an adjustment to this letter. These tariffs can be modified, up or down, depending on the relationship with your country. You will never be disappointed by the United States of America. Thank you very much for your attention to this matter! With best wishes, I am, Yours faithfully, DONALD J. TRUMP"

  • OnceUponATimeInWeHo [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    6 hours ago

    Not sure if anyone has posted this yet

    https://english.news.cn/20250708/44b55cf84c4a42989c6b58fda8fe5b99/c.html

    BEIJING, July 8 (Xinhua) – China has always taken a prudent, responsible approach to military exports and is willing to share the achievements of its equipment development with friendly countries, a Chinese defense spokesperson said on Tuesday. Jiang Bin, spokesperson for the Ministry of National Defense, made the remarks when commenting on recent reports that several countries are in discussions with China regarding weapon procurement plans that include China’s J-10 fighter jet.

  • LoveYourself [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    6 hours ago

    Hacker group claims full breach of anti-Iran TV channel ‘Iran International’

    The London-based Persian-language television channel Iran International has been targeted by a hacker group known as Hanzala, which has gained full access to the channel’s internal systems and released confidential information about its staff.

    More below

    spoiler

    In a statement, the group announced it had completely infiltrated the network, shutting down its systems, servers, and communications infrastructure.

    The group said it successfully extracted sensitive internal data, including confidential communications, personal staff information, financial records, and correspondence with foreign entities.

    One of the most significant breaches, according to the hackers, was access to the channel’s primary message-receiving account, long used as a secure contact point for informants.

    Hanzala said it held the full identity dossiers of more than 71,000 individuals who have communicated with the network.

    The group said according to its analysis Iran International was operating as a “spy and media-infiltration network” under the direction of the Mossad, dressing up as an independent news outlet.

    It has already released some identity data of the channel’s personnel and stated that more selected materials from the data cache will be made public soon.

    The channel confirmed the breach, attributing the leak to unauthorized access to the computers of the targeted staff.

  • plinky [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    8 hours ago

    the summer has come, and what time is this, it’s #beanwatch time 🎉🎉🎉:

    nothing ever happens with beans though: cocoa still around 8k (although rose by 3% just today), coffee dropped to 280 (rip dreams of 700 coffee, the line is looking down and no rumors of harvest disasters), soy still floats around 1000 bucks (so no drastic usaid/tariff effect for this summer i guess?).

    bean-think thinking retiring beanwatch in autumn, if they continue nothing ever happens rp

  • carpoftruth [any, any]@hexbear.netM
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    4 hours ago

    Zei squirrel stridently and exhaustively debunking the latest sexual violence projection by zionists and their genocidal sympathizers at the BBC/the guardian/the nyt. nothing new here, just more israeli lies, but good fodder if you are arguing about this with libs in your life. CW for descriptions of sexual violence in the line below.

    url shortener link: https://tinyurl.com/2p2zv5uw

    link that got owned by hexbear automod: https://zeisquirrel.substack.com/p*removed*-hoax-redux-debunking-the-latest

    the above link goes to the article directory because of hexbear automod. click through to the july 8th post with headline ‘[blank] hoax redux’

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    8 hours ago

    Brazil and India have signed an agreement to cooperate in the fight against terrorism, organized crime, trafficking, cybercrime and money laundering. There will be an exchange of information, joint operations and training, with a focus on sovereignty and mutual protection. The energy ministries signed a memorandum to advance clean technologies such as solar, wind, green hydrogen and storage.

    Research and workshops are planned to boost an inclusive and sovereign energy transition. An agreement was also signed for digital cooperation, with a focus on large-scale public platforms. Brazil will seek training, pilots and secure solutions with Indian support, reinforcing the role of the state in digital transformation.

    • Telegram
  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    8 hours ago

    According to Al-Mayadeen, Syrian President Ahmad Al-Sharaa (formerly Abu Muhammad Al-Jolani) has accepted to give up the Golan Heights in exchange for normalization with Israel. Additionally, as part of the normalization agreement, buffer zones will be established in Southern Syria, including in Al-Quneitra, As-Suwayda, and Daraa.

    Within these zones, all heavy weapons and equipment belonging to the HTS-led Syrian Army will be evacuated, and Syrian Army and Police units stationed in these regions will only be permitted to carry light weaponry. These demands were conveyed by Israel during confidential meeting with Syria in the past few weeks. A Syrian businessman, acting on behalf of President Al-Sharaa, reportedly came to the Knesset today and conveyed Syria’s acceptance.

    • Telegram
  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    8 hours ago

    Mexico Investigates Former President Peña Nieto Over Pegasus Spyware - Telesur English

    Article

    The Marker alleges that Peña Nieto received US$25 million in bribes to authorize the use of the Israeli spyware system. On Tuesday, Mexico’s Attorney General’s Office (FGR) announced the launch of an investigation into former President Enrique Peña Nieto, a conservative politician who led the country from 2012 to 2018.

    The probe was triggered by a report published by the Israeli outlet The Marker, which alleged that Peña Nieto received US$25 million in bribes to authorize the use of the Israeli spyware system Pegasus on Mexican soil.

    “We have already opened a case file, of course, and we will request from the Israeli authorities the information that was made public so we can formally incorporate it and move forward,” said FGR Director Alejandro Gertz.

    During the administration of current President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (2018–2024), the FGR received several complaints regarding the Pegasus software, but these were not substantiated with sufficient evidence.

    “What we are doing now is formally asking the Israeli government, through the international legal assistance system, for authorization so that these claims can be framed within a legal context and not fall into the same void as unsupported complaints,” Gertz added.

    According to The Marker, the most high-profile deal negotiated by Pegasus sales agents was the sale of the spyware, developed by Israeli cyber-intelligence firm NSO Group, to several Mexican institutions. These included the Secretariat of National Defense (SEDENA), the now-defunct Attorney General’s Office (PGR), and the Center for Investigation and National Security (CISEN).

    On Monday, Peña Nieto dismissed The Marker’s report as “false and malicious,” claiming he never held a position that made him responsible for authorizing such contracts. He also stated that Pegasus was not used for spying during his administration, but rather as a tool to “strengthen intelligence capabilities, create security conditions, and fight organized crime.”

    In 2021, however, an international media investigation revealed that several countries used Pegasus to target 50,000 phones, including 15,000 in Mexico during Peña Nieto’s administration. The probe found that communications belonging to activists, journalists, then-opposition leader Lopez Obrador, and his aides were intercepted. The Israeli software was also used to monitor the families of the 43 students who disappeared in Ayotzinapa.