• CosmicSploogeDrizzle@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago
    • Die in a few weeks? No
    • Get more users than reddit? No
    • Be a place in the long run for privacy minded people to escape corporatism and have discussions about any topic? Yes
    • treadful@lemmy.zip
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      1 year ago

      Let’s be real, most of the growth of Reddit over the last 5 or so years haven’t been the type of folks generating good content and discussion anyway. Even if Lemmy gets like 1% of the userbase this place is going to thrive.

      • Vaggumon@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Glad to hear it. I deleted 2 accounts with over 100k karama, and moved fully to Lemmy. I’m here to stay as well. Reddit is dead to me.

        • jay@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          100%, 12 year daily reddit user - feels like I’m out of a bad relationship. I moved all my third party apps off three weeks ago and have replaced all my time with Lemmy and the Fediverse.

          I didn’t realize how poorly the experience had degraded - scrolling content mindlessly, most interactions were dull and sometimes weirdly antagonistic.

          Conversely, my experience on Lemmy has been interesting content with more depth, connecting with people in a warm and welcoming way. I don’t expect this to become reddit - I wouldn’t really want it to.

          I am excited for a future here as the third party apps are removed last this week and we can start a new adventure together.

          • Candelestine@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            Even if this does become reddit, here at lemmy.world, just move to a different Instance, block lemmy.world, and boom. Problem solved.

            Would not take long to do. I expect many people will do just this. We’re probably going to be one of the most commonly defederated-with Instances, just due to being the largest and thus, spammiest.

            • Margot Robbie@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              But also the one with the most content as well.

              Spam control really depends on the ability of the admins and moderation, as well as the quality of the mod tools. Lemmy is nowhere near the size of reddit yet for that to be a problem.

    • nexguy@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Was using RiF and reddit for 12 years. Been on lemmy for a few weeks and I don’t miss reddit. Certainly not going to try to use the official reddit app. So probably not using reddit even if I wanted to in the future.

  • Cratermaker@vlemmy.net
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    1 year ago

    I think it’s here to stay, and it makes me hopeful that we can get a somewhat mainstream version of the Internet as originally envisioned. The corpo hellscape we have right now is garbage.

  • Ben@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Hmmm the main question is whether it can get it’s content to show up in search results - this being the main selling point of Reddit and other platforms.

    Right now, if you help someone fix an issue it’s pretty much walled in and unavailable.

    • hbocao@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Yeah, I was talking to my wife about this.

      Today I can search “whatever reddit”, but with Lemmy-like I have no idea how, since it’s not centralized.

    • Snipe_AT@atay.dev
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      1 year ago

      agreed, is there any way to fix this?

      i’m fairly certain that it really just depends on the google web crawlers to find and index pages. but if the posts are public that’s just a matter of time.

      even with reddit, a post has a new URL so takes some time to be indexed by google or other search engines.

      so maybe it’s just a matter of delivering relevant content over time so that lemmy results get preferred over others

  • BlackCoffee@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Define “a few weeks”

    The blackout started 12-06 which is 2 + weeks ago.

    Lemmy and Kbin are still here and I see no sign of it slowing down. I see much more posts with more engagement which is a good thing.

  • egeres@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Definitely will stay around, yet, realistically speaking, I don’t have much expectations about this endeavor even scratching reddit’s monopoly in the next 1 ~ 3 years (I hope I’m mistaken), who knows what will happen in 10 or 20

    • Cynic04@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Yep, got to think long-term, the hardest part is building a big enough community to make spending time here worthwhile, which is just about there imo. But growing to Reddit size is going to require a lot more features and polish, which I’m sure they’re working on, but it’s all going to take time.

  • Vanthia@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Seeing a post like this with over 100 comments makes me think that it’s going to last, but scrolling down and seeing 25+ posts in a row with zero comments concerns me. It could be a federation/Jerboa/other issue though, I’m still not 100% on everything works and connects, plus I imagine the sudden rapid growth is hurting it for now but that should settle eventually

    • HappycamperNZ@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Alot of bots posting, or certain communities bulking out their posts at once. Scroll by new and you will see 5 or so posts to a sub in a row by the same person.

  • expatriado@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    My previous experience doing something similar was with Voat, Lemmy userbase is more mature(less bigotry and bullying), and the fact is not centralized on one guy that has other stuff to do, leads me to believe there is better chance this time.

  • scarabic@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I’m having fun here and it’s scratching my online discussion itch. I’ve barely been back to Reddit and when Apollo dies I think I will not go back at all. 16 years on Reddit and almost 300K karma.

  • hendrik@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    I think people will vent and quite a decent percentage will return to reddit eventually. Like it happened with twitter since Elon did his thing. But lemmy will stay. It has been here before all the people migrated from reddit and the fediverse in general will keep having a right to exist. And it will.

    • rexxiteer@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      AFAIK, Mastodon actually did gain a sizeable amount of users that actually stayed, even though the number of users has dropped since the peak.

      I personally think something like Lemmy works better than Mastodon, since content is more important here than the users, which I think makes it more easy to have a self-sustaining community.

  • halfelfhalfreindeer@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    It depends on the growth curve. Right now it’s exponential, which means it will keep growing. When you see it stay linear for a while, it’ll probably start to flatten. At that point, it’s either big enough to stick or it’s not.

  • rtxn@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I don’t think it’ll die… but it is a community that needs to be built basically from the ground up, while both the Lemmy/fediverse backend technology and infrastructure are actively being developed. Reddit refugees who want a drop-in alternative to doomscroll will probably be the first to leave.

    The success or failure will be determined by the number of people willing to make an effort to post. Whether Lemmy (or the fediverse in general) will exceed the numbers of other services… I doubt it, but we wouldn’t be here if we only cared about numbers.

  • Aceticon@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    It won’t die in “a few weeks”, simply because the likelihood of everybody abandoning ship in such a short timeframe is pretty much zero.

    It will almost certainly become irrelevant after some years (we just don’t know how many) because almost nothing remains relevant on the Net for more than a decade or two, though even “irrelevant” things still attract a few people so they rarelly “die”.

    Edit: Also and as a side note, I’ve actually been questioning just how many people needs to be around here for it to be a good place to be in. I don’t think the “millions” of people of Reddit actually added to it and suspect that a few tens of thousand of users are enough for the place to feel interesting to be in and participate in, except perhaps in very obscure and niche subjects were you do need millions of people around for there to be a handful that are interested in such subjects.