Comparing current LLMs to the ENIAC is thought-provoking; I understand the eagerness to extrapolate in that direction. That being said, I don’t think it will be linear or even logarithmic in progress. The current state of computing and technological advancement has become:
Oh sweet summer child
I pay for it, it’s worth every penny.
Moisture is the essence of wetness, wetness is the essence of beauty.
https://kagi.com/search?q=the+intercept shows a nice wikipedia description:
https://i.imgur.com/OcVM3c3.png