Boise_Idaho [null/void, any]

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Cake day: 2024年1月8日

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  • They would blame Russia and China for any further war and Palestinian deaths, and a lot of Muslims internationally would believe it which would seriously damage what Russia and China are trying to do with the multipolar world. From their point of view it is better to let the US and the Arab states “own” this, especially since it is likely to be yet another failure.

    Their veto would just paint Hamas and the rest of the Palestinian resistance as Russian/Chinese proxies since Hamas have spoken out against the deal while the rest of the Sunni Muslim world is apparently on board. This will have unforeseen ramifications if you have almost all (Sunni) Muslim countries and the PA support the deal while Russia/China/Iran, Iranian “proxies” like Hezbollah and Ansarallah, and Hamas oppose the deal. They did try painting Hamas as Iranian proxies, but that largely floundered because Hamas is Sunni while Iran is Shia. But selling Hamas as a Russian/Chinese proxy could work by delegitimizing their Muslim/Sunni credentials. After all, haven’t the rest of the Sunni world, including the custodian of Mecca and Medina and the internationally recognized government of Palestine, support the deal?

    The Zionists have placed a political trap where China and Russia lose out either way, so China and Russia is choosing the path of least resistance.












  • Then there was also the Macron - Putin phonecall where Macron basically begged Putin not to invade Ukraine (I’m going off memory on this one).

    My memories are pretty hazy at this point and it’s so hard to find articles right before the invasion happened for obvious reasons, but I wanna say Macron actually met with Putin and Zelensky (or Russian/Ukrainian representatives) right before the invasion. Most contemporary reporting paint a picture of either the French government believing or the French government being reassured that there won’t be an invasion. That was the main reason why I ultimately fell on the “there won’t be an invasion” side. I didn’t think French intelligence was so incompetent that they wouldn’t know something ordinary people knew and I couldn’t think of a reason why the French government would lie about the invasion being eminent.

    In retrospect, this could be a case of France trying to diplomatically pressure Russia into not escalating hostilities. France rushed to the press saying that Russia agreed to not escalate even when Russia made no such promises, so when Russia “breaks” its promise, then the invasion would be even more politically costly.