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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 7th, 2023

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  • To be fair, she is relatively unknown.

    Especially when you consider low information voters (which I expect have similar knowledge to high information voters from other countries).

    Her honeymoon period will end as soon as she sits down and does a few serious and unscripted interviews about policy, which she has managed to avoid so far. At the moment it’s pure vibes, but at some point you need to get into the business of explaining what you would do and being challenged on it. That will generate lots of attack angles and media stories, both good and bad.














  • That ship was about 100,000t.

    There’s a fairly crude equation in the American bridge engineering standard that relates impact load to the mass of a ship, which is:

    P =√(DWT) ±50%

    Where DWT is the deadweight tonnage, and P is the impact load in meganewtons.

    So in this case P=315MN ±50% which is 315000kN or 31500 tonnes of force…

    For comparison, I’m working on a project where we’re going to build a new concrete bridge on the ground next to where it needs to go (under a railway) then wait until we have a planned week with no trains running and push it into position using jacks. That bridge is a 60m long 20m wide 8m high concrete box with 1m thick walls and top and bottom slabs, and we think we will need about 30MN to install it (one tenth of the impact load from that ship).

    So yeah… that’s quite a hit.