Someone finally got through to Trump that Belarus has no potash to spare. All of their production is under contract.
Someone is feeding Trump fake news, and Trump is making very public announcements based on it. The bad intel, one might suspect, is designed to make Trump look foolish, having to backtrack. I wonder if that’ someone’ is Vance, who desperately wants to evict Trump from the White House after the mid-terms?
Double or nothing.
The Canadian government and potash manufacturers now know there is no viable competition around. Let the free market decide :)
I think it’s good, it will open everyone’s eyes a bit hopefully. It might actually make some change in the US.
“wants cheaper price” - A strategy only a stable genius could devise. 🧐 🧠 🤓
“ill get it from somewhere else… Give it to me cheaper!” Art of the Deal!
“In just show the whole world I can’t get it anywhere else, so you need to make a discount”
The price of potash has just gone up Mr Trump. Pray that I do not alter the deal any further
Canadian potash producers should give the U.S. special pricing, I agree.
200%.
Lets not be arbitrary here. Just add an extra 0 to whatever tarrifs Trump has on us. Then we don’t even need to change the law if he removes them.
I appreciate elegance in processes, and this has sent a small shiver down my spine.
No, 25% off the MSRP, which is 50% higher. Idiots fall for this every day. Or change the price from $396.50 to $396.48, Walmart style.
Or charge 1/3 load price for 1/4 load, 4 is bigger than three so they will see the bargain.
2000%
20.000%
Edit; or 20,000%, whichever is largest in your locale
Many Anglos would mistakenly that for 20%. The period is usually a comma in english. 20,000%
TIL, in Dutch is it exactly the opposite – comma’s are for decimals, periods for large numbers. But funnily we would agree 20.000 is 1.000 x 20,000 or 1,000 x 20.000, but not 1,000 x 20,000 or 1.000 x 20.000.
Ahaha that was hard for my small brain to convert but I appreciate it.
If I remember correctly one one of the big 3 potash companies just decided to stop selling to the US, have no idea if they are still doing the not selling action.
They should boycott
No one is mentioning trump created the fertilizer problem. First with trade wars, then actual wars and then finally by doubling down on trade wars.
The Persian gulf is a huge global source of fertilizer ingredients
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/03/visual-guide-gulf-fertiliser-blockade
Fertilizer is best thought of as 3 separate products, limited by either nitrogen, phosphorous, or potassium. Plants need all 3 of them to grow.
Your article is primarily about nitrogen fertilizers, which is usually made by processing fossil fuels. It’s possible to make nitrogen fertilizers without fossil fuels, but that’s more expensive, so the fossil fuel methods dominate.
Canadian production of potash (potassium compounds used for fertilizer) is a different product, with different supply chains.
Phosphorous production is dominated by China and Morocco (with some significant production by United States, Russia, Jordan, Saudi Arabia) so that’s not really in either discussion about fertilizer shortages or trade wars now.
Your article is primarily about nitrogen fertilizers, which is usually made by processing fossil fuels.
Air, actually! (Well, nitrogen from air, and hydrogen. Which might come from fossil fuels, but that’s a relatively minor consideration)
It’s just a really energy intensive process, so fuel is the main input in cost terms.
Also, fun fact about phosphorus: it’s expected deposits will be depleted in a few decades. Efforts are already underway to start recovering it from sewage, instead.
that’s not really in either discussion about fertilizer shortages or trade wars now.
At least not yet…
I have every confidence in Trump’s ability to fuck that up too without understanding the consequences of his actions.
Gosh, I wonder if Canada is in a good mood to negotiate their potash price. 🤔
Bros been trying to neg us into selling shit for cheap. Can’t wait for the temper tantrum that will hopefully follow.
Yeah. Now that our government is actively fighting him, it’s a lot easier to just laugh at stupid Trump stories.
Guess I’ll just keep going with the apology tour.
I’m sorry the dumbest among us forced this felon rapist pedophile on you guys.
Sincerely,
A Very Tired U.S. Citizen
I personally appreciate your thoughts, but you don’t need to go around telling us because I think a lot of us are tired of hearing it. Just do what you can to survive and hopefully make changes in your country. Stay strong and stay safe out there, friend.
FWIW we know, and if anything this community gets kind of tired of hearing it, and kind of grumpy about it. Appreciate the thought, though!
We will end up being the stronger for it, you will end up being the weaker.
If I was Canada I wouldn’t sell jack shit to the USA. Then I’d send him a video of myself just dancing happily in a field of potash.
Yeah, but we kind of need/like some of the stuff you send back. Plus, if we were really aggressive, you could just invade, and then we get to live in a version of Afghanistan with an even worse climate.
Cutting off your oil or fertilizer is an option, but it’s a card we’re saving for a long way down the road, basically. For now, we’re roughly matching whatever your government does, proportionately.
Carney was elected for such.
ChatGPT, does Jack shit have potash or other fertilizer capabilities?..
Yes, but there’s an important distinction,…
Lol go fuck yourself.
I really like the “someone is going to sell it to us cheaper” bluff.
But also potash is bought and sold by the government and not individual producers. This guy is a fucking moron.
And Americans can buy it, they just need to drop their tariff. This is literally cutting off their nose to spite their own face.
It’s also shipped in bulk where the transport costs make up a fair chunk of the final price. Shipping from anywhere further than your neighbour is going to be more expensive
Are you implying the very stable genius hasn’t considered this thing from every angle??
Shipping from Belarus is practically free! He saw that on tv somewhere.
I don’t think he could even FIND Belarus on a map, if all other countries were dimmed out.
Oh i forgot that it was free shipping on all orders over 1 million tonnes, how embarrassing, you should see the lool on my face
The only way Belarus can get it to a port is by train, but I suppose Trump thinks Belarus has rail cars just sitting around, empty. Someone is feeding Trump a lot of misinformation that he is actually believing.
True and Belarus is being sanctioned by its neighbours
And Belarus’s production of potash is already spoken for (mostly by Russia, I believe) and they have no interest in getting out of those contracts. And their annual total potash production can’t cover US needs, so they’d need to spend several years ramping up production. It was all hilariously hopeless from the beginning.
Add an export tariff to potash to the USA, until the SERVICE trade deficit is fixed! The USA has a HUGE imbalance in their favour on trade, they just choose to ignore the service sector entirely.
Export TAX. Tarrifs are on products entering your country to help the sales of local alternatives. Export taxes are “fuck you, that’s why” price increases on a product leaving your country because you need it or your neighbour is a dick.
eh, ok, if that’s the correct term, sure. From that merriam webster link –
a schedule of duties imposed by a government on imported or in some countries exported goods
And to highlight that Canada does use export tariff verbiage, you can look at this govt site for global affairs, where they have a resource called the Canada tariff finder, which they describe as allowing you to “Look up import and export tariff rates”
But either way, you got the point.
It’s more or less the same thing, but export tarrifs most certainly exist.
You’re taking like trump and his supporters… you don’t tarrif exports.
eh, ok, here’s the dictionary definition of a tariff, sure. From that merriam webster link –
a schedule of duties imposed by a government on imported or in some countries exported goods
And to highlight that Canada does use export tariff verbiage, you can look at this govt site for global affairs, where they have a resource called the Canada tariff finder, which they describe as allowing you to “Look up import and export tariff rates”
But sure, go on and insult me for no reason.
So word for word you repeated what magas said
Really? Magas are showing the definition of tariffs from the merriam webster dictionary, and then correcting you to show that yes, Canada DOES apply export tariffs, and my verbiage is correct???
I mean, I find it really strange that MAGAs would even be able to find a Canadian government website, or know what a dictionary is!! Good for them!
Oh, wait, maybe you meant my earlier comment? The one where I clearly state it as an export tariff (whereas magas dont tend to understand there are different types of tariffs – which it seems you have in common with them), and where I highlight that the trade imbalance MAGAs are constantly droning on about is totally bullshit because they ignore the service sectors entirely? MAGAs are highlighting that Canada spends a HUGE amount on US service providers, so much so that it basically dwarfs the GOODS trade deficit that MAGAs use to justify bullshit against Canada? MAGAs are calling themselves out as being morons in regards to the trade bullshit Trumps trumpeting?
What the fuck are you even talking about?
Right or wrong, those are the exact talking points I read from MAGAs.
Your statements make absolutely no fucking sense.
Link your proof, troll. Let’s see these posts where MAGA is calling out Trump’s trade stuff as bullshit due to the SERVICE trade imbalance which favours America entirely, and which shows the justification for the “trade war” is bullshit. I wanna see like a fox news clip where a MAGA hat wearing Trump supporter is calling Trump’s justification for the trade war bullshit. Go on. Link it.
There is most definitely such a thing as export tariffs. Just as there are import tarrifs which the orange buffoon is so find of.
Export tariffs (potentially) slow the outgoing movement of goods. Import tarrifs (potentially) slow the incoming movement of goods.
The end result is similar (higher end costs), it’s which government gets the $$$ that differs.
Uh, remove the tariff?
Respect and the ability to negotiate in good faith probably would have got lower potash prices because it would be mutually beneficial based on all trade (they get something, we get something). Oh, trump! What have you wrought?
Respect and the ability to negotiate in good faith probably would have got lower potash prices because it would be mutually beneficial
The USA already buys many commodities (including potash and crude oil) from Canada at a discount from global prices.
And, because Canada sticks to our agreements (unlike Trump’s USA), we haven’t removed that “most favored nation” discount.
The only negotiating strategy Trump knows is zero sum win-lose (I win you lose). He thinks win-win negotiating is for wimps.
Increase the price
Sorry, can’t hear you.
