I mean, Russia’s certainly looking like they want to try at Finland again with those troop buildups, and they’re propping up a lot of armed agitators in Moldova, as well as a lot of sabotage across Central Europe (and now a drone incursion accidentally-maybe-not into Poland). Sure looks to me like if Russia isn’t an aggressor nation towards Europe, they’re doing a damn fine job imitating one.
Do they have the troops, morale, equipment, money, or veterancy to effectively prosecute a war against a nation that hasn’t undergone serious regime change recently? My money is personally on no success, but I’m definitely willing to say that Putin will give it a try. He has leashed his entire wagon to the horse named “expansionism”, and he NEEDS some sort of victory to keep any semblance of public support, no matter how jaded his populace might be - otherwise his dictator friends might get ideas on seizing Russian lands.
and now a drone incursion accidentally-maybe-not into Poland
You don’t fly a hundred of miles with a remotely controlled drone by accident.
Another thing is that to steer them they used Polish SIM cards. There was actually news that Ukrainians found Polish and Lithuanian SIM cards in short down drones, back in July, so this escalation was planned for weeks.
I mean, Russia’s certainly looking like they want to try at Finland again with those troop buildups, and they’re propping up a lot of armed agitators in Moldova, as well as a lot of sabotage across Central Europe (and now a drone incursion accidentally-maybe-not into Poland). Sure looks to me like if Russia isn’t an aggressor nation towards Europe, they’re doing a damn fine job imitating one.
Do they have the troops, morale, equipment, money, or veterancy to effectively prosecute a war against a nation that hasn’t undergone serious regime change recently? My money is personally on no success, but I’m definitely willing to say that Putin will give it a try. He has leashed his entire wagon to the horse named “expansionism”, and he NEEDS some sort of victory to keep any semblance of public support, no matter how jaded his populace might be - otherwise his dictator friends might get ideas on seizing Russian lands.
You don’t fly a hundred of miles with a remotely controlled drone by accident.
Another thing is that to steer them they used Polish SIM cards. There was actually news that Ukrainians found Polish and Lithuanian SIM cards in short down drones, back in July, so this escalation was planned for weeks.