There’s no way the psychotic hardliners fascists in the Israeli government are going to pass up the “end game” that Hamas handed them. By destroying the sense of moral high ground worldwide, they’ve doomed themselves. They’re going to clear-cut gaza.
I am not saying either governments has the high ground. But I am commenting that Hamas fucked themselves! They’ve done away with the sympathy and protections that come with victimhood as they transitioned to embracing mass war crimes and crimes against humanity.
I’m still hoping the West Bank can escape the bulk of future Israeli war crimes and retribution (as much as possible), but I’m not holding my breath. I’d be shocked if Gaza was anything but an uninhabited wasteland after this. And again, I’m not endorsing that, just being realistic.
Honestly the question is would anybody care enough to do something about it? I see headlines everyday finger wagging at bigwigs all across the world but nothing actually gets done to them.
Agreed, and I didn’t mean to imply they will kill them all. But some sort of mass deportation even if done over months, seems entirely possible.
What doesn’t seem plausible to me is them leaving Gaza even remotely habitable.
I think just turning off water and power is a crime. I don’t care for either government in this conflict either. I feel awful for any innocent civilian stuck in this mess.
There are 6 million people in Israel, of that about 2 million is Israel Palestinian.
There are a about 6 million people in Palestinian.
If Israel won’t let Palestine be a independent country, then the 4 million Isrealies and the 8 million Palestinians need to integrate and come to some South African truth and reconciliation level of cultural assimilation.
Not letting people be independent but making them second class citizens will never see a end to violence.
I think a truth and reconciliation would be amazing. But I’m a realist, just bc I want to believe that could happen doesn’t mean I can pretend there’s any chance it will.
FWIW I would love for you to be right and me to be wrong. I just lack any hope.
At the moment there is so much bad blood that I don’t think that the current generation can reach a truce. It doesn’t also help that neither of the sides is ready to make any concessions and without concessions long lasting peace would never be achieved.
But Palestine and especially the Hamas are also denying Israel their right to be an independent country. The Hamas is also denying Jews in general their existence and wants to eradicate them, how does this work in your equation?
The conflict between Israel and Palestine is the real one and worth solving, but the Hamas is nothing more than a terror organization.
I agree. Hamas is an intractable bad actor. To get reconciliation between the populations, we need to have both populations engaged in a hopeful future, so that most of the population does not support religious extremists violent bad actors. We have to make Hamas the worst option for the general population, not the best.
Israel and Palestine both exist on the same land. There’s no solution that’s going to make everybody happy. In an ideal world they’d both have their independent territory split, and let bygones be bygones. But that’s not the world we live in.
If Palestine can’t have its own land, then I see the only tenable solution is integration between the populations. You can’t have an effectively imprisoned population and expect stability.
Honestly, I blame the British. Their long history of drawing lines on maps, the local people be damned, has been the source of lots of conflict.
Other potential options I see: a UN military force maintaining a separation between the populations, and a road to independence.
A secular government, from all religions, being the administrative head of the entire territory, and then religious governments for subregions to represent their direct populations. Something like the state model in the United States.
I agree on most points with you. But don’t forget we had the UN draw a line between both countries and declared their independence. The answer was a declaration of war to Israel, which they actually won and which resulted in an enlargement of the territory of Israel, which I don’t call fair or helpful in this conflict but understandable from the point of the “winner”…
I blame both sides for their actions but as long as the Hamas or the Hisbollah exist I can’t see any chance for peace and I really can’t blame Israel for fighting against terrorists. And please don’t forget the Hamas is also very responsible for the death of civilians in Palestine, this is actually part of their strategy and very welcomed by their leadership. Civilian casualties are always welcomed by terrorists because they create anger, desperation and rage and fuel their shameful cause even further.
A lot of these discussions get bogged down about who is right, who is wrong, who is morally justified. It doesn’t matter at the nation state level.
I’m not familiar with the UN enforced independence, I do know the UN secured the Gaza Egypt border for a period of time.
There are intransigent bad actors on both sides, religious extremists on the Palestinian side, and agitating settlers on the Israeli government side. So no matter what happens, there’s always going to be bad activities, that’s going to spark up more bad blood at the population level.
Hamas, absolutely wants to create civilian casualties on both sides, because it helps their recruitment, helps reinforce their mission, draws an attention internationally, gets them funding and weapons. Give us money look we stir shit up, we could stir shit up for you.
So going back to the real politic, the current situation is not going to be resolved with a military incursion on either side. I’m not sure who benefits from this situation long-term, but when both parties just keep repeating previous actions, they’re stuck in a loop.
Perhaps this latest activity Will be used to depopulate Gaza migrating everybody to the West Bank, we’re then hamas’s political power would be diminished. I think that would spur a lot more violence, but maybe clearing Gaza is more important than the violence. I’m not sure.
It could be so simple. Eradicate the degenerated Hamas, create a demilitarized zone between both countries, accept the other countries existence and independence and then fuck off and live happily in your part of the country.
What Hamas did requires a response from Israel, and no amount of “truce now, k?” will be work. It’s sad, but the only course for Israel is to hit back, and hard. Anything less would be bending over and showing Hamas can do this again.
In other words, you can’t stab a person, and then go “whoa stahp” when the bleeding guy pulls a bigger gun on you.
Bystanderd will be hurt, but I hope it will be over quick and afterwards there can be a path towards something better.
I’m not expecting a clear cut, what I’m expecting is the annexation of the western edge of Gaza to gain effective control over all points of entry to be able to raise siege whenever they decide Gaza is being a problem.
After enough sieges trading in Gaza will become so costly just from risk assessment of having goods seized by the IDF that Gaza will have nothing left but the fish they’re able to get out of the Mediterranean. Anyone sending them weapons would be doing so at significant loss, and while running the risk of being put on international blast whenever they get caught.
Hamas has a lot of hostages now, including some high value ones from the IDF. They also severely humiliated the Israeli military and intelligence apparatus, reminding the world that Israel is not invulnerable and demonstrating that Hamas is a more formidable force than ever, which will help them get more international support. I think Hamas is in a strong position to secure concessions from Israel.
I read it completely the other way, that while I am NOT claiming it , there is a possibility hardliners elements in the IDF and Mossad that allowed it.
I also don’t believe the hardliners in power give a shit about the hostages. They’ve been waiting for enough cover to clear out the entirity of Gaza while avoiding universal global condemnation–and now they have that chance. Plus Israel is now unified, the human rights voices will be as surpassed as US anti-wsr voices were after 9/11.
For the horrible fascist hardliners in Israel this is exactly what they want. And I think Hamas is done. The question is really what will happen to the innocent civilians? And also will the West Bank face any aggression and crimes (beyond the normal ones they regularly deal with)?
I really think this was the worst thing Hamas could have done, for themselves and the civilians who will suffer because of them.
I suppose there is a non-zero chance that Israel decides to forsake the hostages, but I think the political cost would be too high. Also, that would really hurt IDF morale and discipline if there’s suddenly a new policy that they won’t negotiate your release if you get captured.
Something else to consider is that maybe Gaza kind of serves as a perpetual crisis that helps the Israeli hardliners maintain their grip on power. They might still want to keep it around.
There’s no way the psychotic hardliners fascists in the Israeli government are going to pass up the “end game” that Hamas handed them. By destroying the sense of moral high ground worldwide, they’ve doomed themselves. They’re going to clear-cut gaza.
I am not saying either governments has the high ground. But I am commenting that Hamas fucked themselves! They’ve done away with the sympathy and protections that come with victimhood as they transitioned to embracing mass war crimes and crimes against humanity.
I’m still hoping the West Bank can escape the bulk of future Israeli war crimes and retribution (as much as possible), but I’m not holding my breath. I’d be shocked if Gaza was anything but an uninhabited wasteland after this. And again, I’m not endorsing that, just being realistic.
If they wipe out Gaza that’s 2.2million people to be “clear cut”. That’s not a good look no matter how much good PR a side has
Honestly the question is would anybody care enough to do something about it? I see headlines everyday finger wagging at bigwigs all across the world but nothing actually gets done to them.
If history is the guide, no one will intervene in the depopulation of a well armed country until the antagonist country makes international war.
Agreed, and I didn’t mean to imply they will kill them all. But some sort of mass deportation even if done over months, seems entirely possible.
What doesn’t seem plausible to me is them leaving Gaza even remotely habitable.
I think just turning off water and power is a crime. I don’t care for either government in this conflict either. I feel awful for any innocent civilian stuck in this mess.
There are 6 million people in Israel, of that about 2 million is Israel Palestinian.
There are a about 6 million people in Palestinian.
If Israel won’t let Palestine be a independent country, then the 4 million Isrealies and the 8 million Palestinians need to integrate and come to some South African truth and reconciliation level of cultural assimilation.
Not letting people be independent but making them second class citizens will never see a end to violence.
I think a truth and reconciliation would be amazing. But I’m a realist, just bc I want to believe that could happen doesn’t mean I can pretend there’s any chance it will.
FWIW I would love for you to be right and me to be wrong. I just lack any hope.
At the moment there is so much bad blood that I don’t think that the current generation can reach a truce. It doesn’t also help that neither of the sides is ready to make any concessions and without concessions long lasting peace would never be achieved.
Very sadly agree.
But Palestine and especially the Hamas are also denying Israel their right to be an independent country. The Hamas is also denying Jews in general their existence and wants to eradicate them, how does this work in your equation?
The conflict between Israel and Palestine is the real one and worth solving, but the Hamas is nothing more than a terror organization.
I agree. Hamas is an intractable bad actor. To get reconciliation between the populations, we need to have both populations engaged in a hopeful future, so that most of the population does not support religious extremists violent bad actors. We have to make Hamas the worst option for the general population, not the best.
Israel and Palestine both exist on the same land. There’s no solution that’s going to make everybody happy. In an ideal world they’d both have their independent territory split, and let bygones be bygones. But that’s not the world we live in.
If Palestine can’t have its own land, then I see the only tenable solution is integration between the populations. You can’t have an effectively imprisoned population and expect stability.
Honestly, I blame the British. Their long history of drawing lines on maps, the local people be damned, has been the source of lots of conflict.
Other potential options I see: a UN military force maintaining a separation between the populations, and a road to independence.
A secular government, from all religions, being the administrative head of the entire territory, and then religious governments for subregions to represent their direct populations. Something like the state model in the United States.
I agree on most points with you. But don’t forget we had the UN draw a line between both countries and declared their independence. The answer was a declaration of war to Israel, which they actually won and which resulted in an enlargement of the territory of Israel, which I don’t call fair or helpful in this conflict but understandable from the point of the “winner”…
I blame both sides for their actions but as long as the Hamas or the Hisbollah exist I can’t see any chance for peace and I really can’t blame Israel for fighting against terrorists. And please don’t forget the Hamas is also very responsible for the death of civilians in Palestine, this is actually part of their strategy and very welcomed by their leadership. Civilian casualties are always welcomed by terrorists because they create anger, desperation and rage and fuel their shameful cause even further.
A lot of these discussions get bogged down about who is right, who is wrong, who is morally justified. It doesn’t matter at the nation state level.
I’m not familiar with the UN enforced independence, I do know the UN secured the Gaza Egypt border for a period of time.
There are intransigent bad actors on both sides, religious extremists on the Palestinian side, and agitating settlers on the Israeli government side. So no matter what happens, there’s always going to be bad activities, that’s going to spark up more bad blood at the population level.
Hamas, absolutely wants to create civilian casualties on both sides, because it helps their recruitment, helps reinforce their mission, draws an attention internationally, gets them funding and weapons. Give us money look we stir shit up, we could stir shit up for you.
So going back to the real politic, the current situation is not going to be resolved with a military incursion on either side. I’m not sure who benefits from this situation long-term, but when both parties just keep repeating previous actions, they’re stuck in a loop.
Perhaps this latest activity Will be used to depopulate Gaza migrating everybody to the West Bank, we’re then hamas’s political power would be diminished. I think that would spur a lot more violence, but maybe clearing Gaza is more important than the violence. I’m not sure.
It could be so simple. Eradicate the degenerated Hamas, create a demilitarized zone between both countries, accept the other countries existence and independence and then fuck off and live happily in your part of the country.
Israel purposely helped Hamas to power so there would be no moderate Palestinians to foster a peaceful solution.
They’ve been murdering Palestinians for decades already. And nobody gave a shit, why would they start now?
Now wipe out Hamas, that’s something I could get behind. All the best for the rest of Palestine.
edit: and someone actually downvoted me for not supporting child murdering terrorists. World’s gone to shit.
What Hamas did requires a response from Israel, and no amount of “truce now, k?” will be work. It’s sad, but the only course for Israel is to hit back, and hard. Anything less would be bending over and showing Hamas can do this again.
In other words, you can’t stab a person, and then go “whoa stahp” when the bleeding guy pulls a bigger gun on you.
Bystanderd will be hurt, but I hope it will be over quick and afterwards there can be a path towards something better.
Before you engage with what I said, be sure to read up on https://lemmy.world/comment/4385358
I wish Hamas could be eradicated, it would be the single best step for Palestine, and not far behind, Israel and the rest of the world.
I’m not expecting a clear cut, what I’m expecting is the annexation of the western edge of Gaza to gain effective control over all points of entry to be able to raise siege whenever they decide Gaza is being a problem.
After enough sieges trading in Gaza will become so costly just from risk assessment of having goods seized by the IDF that Gaza will have nothing left but the fish they’re able to get out of the Mediterranean. Anyone sending them weapons would be doing so at significant loss, and while running the risk of being put on international blast whenever they get caught.
Yeah having a slave labor force for manual labor has been pretty useful and I’m sure Israel isn’t in a rush to completely get rid of that.
Hamas has a lot of hostages now, including some high value ones from the IDF. They also severely humiliated the Israeli military and intelligence apparatus, reminding the world that Israel is not invulnerable and demonstrating that Hamas is a more formidable force than ever, which will help them get more international support. I think Hamas is in a strong position to secure concessions from Israel.
Really? I find that shocking.
I read it completely the other way, that while I am NOT claiming it , there is a possibility hardliners elements in the IDF and Mossad that allowed it.
I also don’t believe the hardliners in power give a shit about the hostages. They’ve been waiting for enough cover to clear out the entirity of Gaza while avoiding universal global condemnation–and now they have that chance. Plus Israel is now unified, the human rights voices will be as surpassed as US anti-wsr voices were after 9/11.
For the horrible fascist hardliners in Israel this is exactly what they want. And I think Hamas is done. The question is really what will happen to the innocent civilians? And also will the West Bank face any aggression and crimes (beyond the normal ones they regularly deal with)?
I really think this was the worst thing Hamas could have done, for themselves and the civilians who will suffer because of them.
The Netanyahu government famously traded over one thousand Palestinian prisoners, including some lifers, for a single live IDF soldier. There have also been significant trades just for captured remains. So, the precedent is that Israel will pay a big price to get its people back.
I suppose there is a non-zero chance that Israel decides to forsake the hostages, but I think the political cost would be too high. Also, that would really hurt IDF morale and discipline if there’s suddenly a new policy that they won’t negotiate your release if you get captured.
Something else to consider is that maybe Gaza kind of serves as a perpetual crisis that helps the Israeli hardliners maintain their grip on power. They might still want to keep it around.
You’d be quite wrong to think that.
Oh wow thank you for the detailed analysis.