(Justin)

Tech nerd from Sweden

  • 2 Posts
  • 366 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 10th, 2023

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  • My expectation, and something I think shared by most NATO countries, is that the Russian regime would interpret western troops on the front line as a ground invasion of Russia by those countries. Something that would win over the Russian people into supporting an invasion of the bordering countries of Finland, Norway, Poland, and the Baltics.

    Not to say that any no-fly-zone or a tripwire force in Ukraine would lead to Russians running into Narva, but there is still these sorts of non-nuclear escalations that western troops in “annexed” oblasts would likely cause.

    Who knows where the red line is, but a lot of people in the west think it’s located before the point of troops in Donetsk.

    Some game theory about red lines in the Russia-Ukraine war: https://youtu.be/tM0ZTEz7Bzc