aaaaaaadjsf [he/him, comrade/them]

There were secondary explosions on video from hits at the other base, so yeah, probably why we have no satellite imagery of that.

Are they going to try strike Iran’s underground ballistic missile facilities? The launch locations are very public and impossible to hide.

Morocco is an example of a nation that can be in the Global South but also a settler colonial state (in Western Sahara).

One of the phenomena of sub-imperialism

This was from the big Iranian ballistic missile attack a few days ago.

Israel is also working on “Iron Beam” to try complement Iron Dome, as the cost of Iron Dome interceptions are very high, and it’s increasingly being bypassed. It’s set to be operational next year.

It could be viable, but the source of the satellite imagery and the impact count said that all counted impact craters appear to be from intact re-entry vehicles.

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The craters/damaged buildings look like they were hit with intact reentry vehicles.

Those are probably hits from the Ghadr-110, it’s Iran’s most inaccurate guided ballistic missile as it has no aerodynamic fins to guide it on re-entry, it relies solely on its actuating solid fuel rocket motor attached to the warhead itself for maneuvering. This leads to a 100-300m Circular Error Probability(CEP), or median error radius for the mathematical term. The radius of a circle, when centred at the target, that 50% hits will land inside of.

They’re lying because they’ve been figured out. Iron Dome is not designed and can’t be used to intercept ballistic missiles. David’s Sling has all the same flaws as the Patriot air defence system it’s based on when intercepting ballistic targets, Arrow-3, the system that aims to intercept ballistic missiles in space, can be bypassed by Iran’s Fattah-1 missiles due to their ability to manoeuvre in space. This just leaves Arrow-2 as a viable intercept system, as it aims to intercept ballistic missiles in their terminal phase of flight, as the warhead re-enters the Earth’s atmosphere and homes in on the target. This works with missiles that are single stage and slow down considerably on re-entry, but for missiles with a rocket stage on the warhead that impact the target at hypersonic speeds, the intercept window is tiny time wise, so it can be overwhelmed.

It depends on what missiles were used. The Kheibar Shekan and Emad missiles have movable aerodynamic fins on the warhead/re-entry vehicle(RV) itself, allowing for high accuracy. Fattah-1 has both movable aerodynamic fins and a vectoring rocket on the RV, allowing for high accuracy and a hypersonic impact speed on the target. The Ghadr-110 missile only has a actuating/vectoring rocket on its RV, so it’s less accurate as it doesn’t have aerodynamic fins/wingtips.

For accuracy, for Ghadr-110 you’re looking at a >100m Circular Error Probability(CEP), or median error radius. So the radius of the circle, when centred at the target, that 50% of warheads will land in. For Emad missiles, that’s around a 50m CEP. For Kheibar Shekan and Fattah-1, CEP is likely <20m.

I think it was 180 missiles total, and looking at the results, Israel probably prioritised intercepting missiles targeting Mossad HQ over the three bases and the oil rig.

Full satellite imagery has been released on the results of the Iranian ballistic missile attack on Nevatim Air Base in Israel. For now, 33 direct hits can be seen:

Note that this is not counting the hits from attacks on other bases.

Conscript armies are like that, you get people obtaining ranks like corporal during their mandatory conscription period. That means you can command a small squad (two fire teams, so over 8 soliders) as a conscript!

How in the hell were people living in Ugledar? It looks like a post apocalyptic city after a nuclear detonation. Were they locked in the basements by Ukrainian soliders and prevented from leaving? Did they voluntarily stay and wait for Russia to take over? How did they survive years of fortifications and bombings?

The first four points are good, then it starts getting more and more deranged, but he manages to bring it back by pointing out that Ukraine and Israel bomb civilians on purpose (Zelensky’s “victory plan” for Ukraine included the terror bombings of Russian cities using NATO weaponry), then it descends into derangement again, but he manages to bring it back with the last point, which is the key to everything.

Musk had to delete his own tweet showing a video of Iranian missiles successfully hitting their targets. That platform gets worse by the day.

Syrian air defenses have engaged over 50 targets? That is a very serious development. Those defenses are the only thing that stops Syria from being bombed in the way Lebanon is being bombed now.

Id guess it’s the missile technology described in this white paper PDF by the "Missile Defence Advocacy alliance. I think that the IRGC was testing this technology with Yemen with regards to the Palestine-2 missile.

Yeah that’s what I’m thinking too. They tested the new missile technology live in battle conditions, with regards in co-operation with Yemen launching the Palestine-2 missiles, and used the data from such tests to perfect the technology for yesterday’s attack.

Captain and team commander at 23 years old for two of the deceased soliders…

All that talk from the IDF spokesperson about Israel striking hard tonight in the region, and as sunrise approaches, all they managed was a few bombing raids in Beirut again? Hopefully it stays that way and they don’t bomb anything else.