Staines [they/them]

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Joined 5 years ago
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Cake day: July 29th, 2020

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  • Self preservation would be one motivation. .

    The 2019 RAND report gameplan for this conflict makes it clear that, if the worst case scenario happens and Russia gets stronger over the course of the conflict rather than being depleted as intended, an offramp should be found immediately to minimize Russian gains. Ukraine is losing the war, and supplies are now limited to a dripfeed. Their suzerain is stating pretty clearly that they expect compliance. – Logically, in line with US think-tanks, the next step is to assassinate Zelensky and find someone more conciliatory.



  • It’s just the start of the “stabbed in the back” myth though, isn’t it? Ukrainian men are all heroes that fought like lions, lead by incompetent russian generals and jewish leaders; and betrayed by the west who didn’t possess a will to win as strong as ours.

    Listening to Ukrainian sources and interviews on the street is very interesting. There’s immense social and legal pressure to follow “the narrative”, but occasionally you get a weary sigh as someone on a tram 20km from the front says, yeah, our boys attack civilians but everyone around here knows the Russians don’t so I feel quite safe.

    Criticizing the performance of the regular army is one of the few legal and socially acceptable avenues to express dissent.




  • Time for the yearly Ukrainian collapse in Donbas. The Russians have made weeks of progress in 3 days.

    Seems like the Russians were building up forces to encircle Pokrovsk to the west, but then decided to change their plans and instead thunder-run north towards the new second belt of defenses that the Ukrainians have been building for over a year. Turns out, the Ukrainians built this formidable new defensive line to prepare for the future, but then didn’t have enough soldiers to man it. The Russians are now moving into this free real estate and spreading out along it, turning a 10km encirclement into a 30km fortified encirclement.

    Ukrainian commentator cope is currently “the Russians aren’t getting better, our own high command is getting more incompetent.”








  • Fully agree.

    What Iran really needs to do right now is build unity, destroy the enemy within, and keep hitting the entity every day. There’s no point escalating at this moment unless the US starts bombing air defences and the IRGC. There’s also no point de-escalating; as we’ve seen from Lebanon and Syria, Israel will continue bombing regardless.

    Keep up the pressure. No negotiations (Negotiations are literally pointless when you’re in a weak position, since their only purpose is to extract concessions, not work out peaceful co-existence). Build the nukes.

    As soon as nukes are tested, sanctions will be applied. Acquire sufficient volume of weapons to ensure deterrence against first strikes. Apply counter sanctions (destruction of all oil shipping going to countries that are applying sanctions). Go in hard for the new world.