Based on the 2024 H1B numbers, that translates to roughly 35,000 NEW H1B applications for 2025 Q4 that will be affected.
Over the next year the expected impact is 85,000 jobs (the cap of 65,000 plus 20K advanced degree holders) and $8.5B in salaries to US workers, assuming that no company is willing to pay the fee, that no role is outsourced, and that the job vacancy is actually filled by a US worker.
I’m not sure what renewals look like if they are also affected by the $100K fee or included in the 85K cap.
I think you’re on to something. This could accelerate the movement of tech jobs to India & other countries vs just importing cheap labor.
In the past, when tech jobs were outsourced, it was just the coders. Lately, ilve noticed entire teams being outsourced, manager, project/product managers, coders, agilists, designers and others. Big companies are letting all technology be performed offshore and only the business units remain. This administration policy move could accelerate this trend, which could have far reaching implications.
Always assume that companies will be motivated by profits. Since Trump has made it expensive to hire H1bs expensive, the companies would rather pay non-Americans because that’s still cheaper than hiring Americans.
But don’t tell that to the racists on reddit. They’re very happy by this decision.
Based on the 2024 H1B numbers, that translates to roughly 35,000 NEW H1B applications for 2025 Q4 that will be affected.
Over the next year the expected impact is 85,000 jobs (the cap of 65,000 plus 20K advanced degree holders) and $8.5B in salaries to US workers, assuming that no company is willing to pay the fee, that no role is outsourced, and that the job vacancy is actually filled by a US worker.
I’m not sure what renewals look like if they are also affected by the $100K fee or included in the 85K cap.
Sure dude.
I think you’re on to something. This could accelerate the movement of tech jobs to India & other countries vs just importing cheap labor.
In the past, when tech jobs were outsourced, it was just the coders. Lately, ilve noticed entire teams being outsourced, manager, project/product managers, coders, agilists, designers and others. Big companies are letting all technology be performed offshore and only the business units remain. This administration policy move could accelerate this trend, which could have far reaching implications.
Always assume that companies will be motivated by profits. Since Trump has made it expensive to hire H1bs expensive, the companies would rather pay non-Americans because that’s still cheaper than hiring Americans.
But don’t tell that to the racists on reddit. They’re very happy by this decision.