The Picard Maneuver@lemmy.worldM to memes@lemmy.world · 10 个月前It's a superpowerlemmy.worldimagemessage-square15fedilinkarrow-up1734arrow-down15
arrow-up1729arrow-down1imageIt's a superpowerlemmy.worldThe Picard Maneuver@lemmy.worldM to memes@lemmy.world · 10 个月前message-square15fedilink
minus-squareZiglin (it/they)@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up4·10 个月前I usually think of lots of different possibilities but most of them aren’t good. I know that at most one can be right but what if I’m right about one of the bad ones?
minus-squarefckreddit@lemmy.mllinkfedilinkarrow-up4·10 个月前Our minds are remarkably bad at estimating probabilities because they are always operating on limited information combined with high bias.
I usually think of lots of different possibilities but most of them aren’t good. I know that at most one can be right but what if I’m right about one of the bad ones?
Our minds are remarkably bad at estimating probabilities because they are always operating on limited information combined with high bias.